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Posts Tagged ‘SHLD’

Did Going “Soft” Kill Sears (SHLD)?

April 9, 2012 2 comments

First, a look at the five-year chart for SHLD.

Sears SHLD 5-year stock price chart

Sears SHLD and its 5-year dis-engagement

The slide in Sears has been rather impressive. It seems like only a few short years ago they were being lauded for their “brilliant” strategy of promoting soft lines, like clothing. Then they expanded even more, including grocery items and more. I suppose the idea was to capture the entire family business with the stereotypical male going for the hardware items such as Craftsman tools, the the stereotypical female purchasing clothes, groceries, appliances, etc.

In reaching for an ever-larger percentage of the family shopping basket, it appears Sears has lost more and more of it.

Sears now is selling its premium brand Craftsman tools, riding lawn mowers, etc. at steep discounts.

This has been going on since at least before Christmas. Our local Sears sits in a huge new building and includes an automotive center. Almost any day you can go there a see very few people inside, and even fewer buying very much. The soft good are OK, but nothing to get excited about. Tools have been heavily discounted for the past several months. The electronics section is a real yawner, poorly organized, over-priced, with few items to get excited about. It is not surprising at all then, with this as background, what the 1-year SHLD stock price chart looks like.

Sears SHLD 1-year stock price chart

Did going "soft" kill Sears?

After a relatively brief period of overbought insanity, SHLD bounced off the declining white price resistance line and is now heading back to earth.

It appears that SHLD may over-correct into oversold territory, knocking the stock price down further.

In light of the steep discounts on its premium Craftsman line, it appears Sears is in trouble. If Sears does ultimately fail, or becomes a pale shadow of its former self, it will likely be because Sears tried to be too many things to too many people. Going “soft” may kill Sears.

Disclaimer: The above is for informational purposes only. This should not be considered investment advice. Any investment decisions are your own and should be made after conducting your own independent research and / or in consultation with a professional investment advisor. 

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Sears SHLD Continues Price Slide

April 2, 2012 1 comment

SHLD Chart

SHLD data by YCharts

Despite the recent trip up to over $80.00, Sears SHLD continues to be in a long-term price decline.

But first, let’s look at a 1-year price chart for SHLD.

Sears SHLD 1-year price chart

Sears SHLD stock price rediscovers gravity

As the saying goes, “Gravity is a bitch”. After defying gravity over $80.00, Sears bounced over long-term price resistance represented by the white line. It is now being pulled down into the purple colored Andrew’s Pitchfork below.

The bottom part of the chart is the 21-day detrended price oscillator which basically indicates that Sears was overbought, but has now re-entered the channel, where we might expect it will journey down – eventually – to oversold status should it exit out the bottom of the channel.

Now, for the 5-year SHLD price chart.

Sears SHLD 5-year stock price chart

From the softer side of Sears to the softer side of SHLD stock price

The SHLD 5-year stock price chart reveals Sears has failed multiple times to cross the overhead white price resistance line.

The exterior of a typical Sears Essentials store.

Until, or unless, it manages to convincingly penetrate price resistance, expect Sears to continue its steady price descent long-term. While there may be shorter-term opportunities to trade the stock it doesn’t appear to be a long-term buy and hold opportunity.
Disclaimer: The above is for informational purposes only. This should not be considered investment advice. Any investment decisions are your own and should be made after conducting your own independent research and / or in consultation with a professional investment advisor.

Sears (SHLD) Stock Price not Done Falling

March 30, 2012 3 comments

A few days back I wrote how the long-term price trend for Sears (SHLD) was down.

Old logo of Sears

Old logo of Sears (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Especially, looking at a shorter-term chart, SHLD looks like it going to decline further in price.

SHLD 3-29-12

What's in the basement of Sears? Could be their stock price.

SHLD couldn’t break through the overhead price resistance of $80.00+ and headed lower. As you can see on the chart, SHLD had been in an ascending price “channel”. However, today, it fell out of that channel. Furthermore, the SHLD 21-day detrended price oscillator had climbed out of its channel and now appears poised to re-enter it and decline further. This should put SHLD price back within the downward pointing Andrew’s pitchfork where it would be reasonable to think the price would continue a slow decline.

Pulling the stock chart view all the way back 5 years provides some interesting perspective.

SHLD 5-year chart 3-29-12

Long-term, SHLD price trend is down

SHLD has not been able to break through and stay above the white price resistance line. It’s pretty remarkable when you see that the line that in the first chart appears rather briefly stretches back a full 5 years.

It’s also quite interesting that SHLD, stayed below its 21-day exponential moving price average for a number of years – yes years!

The detrended price oscillator looks different on the 5-year chart. SHLD only recently re-entered the channel, but could fall back out of it again.

However, I think whether or not SHLD falls below that channel or stays within it, the more important chart feature is that white line representing overhead price resistance steadily dropping over time. Until and unless SHLD finds a way to convincingly break through that line, the long-term downward price trend remains in place.

Disclaimer: The above is for informational purposes only. This should not be considered investment advice. Any investment decisions are your own and should be made after conducting your own independent research and / or in consultation with a professional investment advisor. 

 

Chart: SHLD Long-Term Price Trend is Down

March 24, 2012 3 comments

SHLD has had an incredible price surge this year from $28.89 to a high of $87.66.

Sears Holdings Corporation Stock Chart

Sears Holdings Corporation Stock Chart by YCharts

However, the recent surge has broken down a bit.

SHLD Chart 3-23-12

SHLD price breaking down?

Looking at the chart, SHLD broke through the top of the Andrew’s Pitchfork as well as the buy trigger line. However, in recent days SHLD fell back through the price trigger line and is headed back not only towards the top line of Andrew’s Pitchfork, but also through a support line going back to early January of this year.

While the recent price action of SHLD has been pretty spectacular, longer term SHLD is in a clear downward trend looking at the 5-year chart.

SHLD 5-Year Chart

SHLD 5-year chart clearly shows downward trend

Trends, of course, can always change, but the 5-year trend combined with the current chart does not offer much reason for optimism. If you’re long SHLD or thinking of going long, be aware of the current and long-term trends.

Disclaimer: The above is for informational purposes only. This should not be considered investment advice. Any investment decisions are your own and should be made after conducting your own independent research and / or in consultation with a professional investment adviser.